Best replacements for Ellis Simms

Coventry City forward · the best forwards to buy instead, by expected points over GW6–10 · updated Mon 5 Oct, 23:10 UK

The model would keep him

GW6–10 xP
5.4
Price
£4.9m
Owned
0.6%

No available forward at £4.9m or less projects clearly more than Simms over the next 5 gameweeks. Spend the transfer elsewhere.

For £4.9m or less

Expected points over GW6–10, and the difference to Simms
  1. £4.5m (saves £0.4m) · 3.5% owned · next FUL (H)
    0.6 (−4.8)
  2. Mheuka CHE
    £4.5m (saves £0.4m) · 0.5% owned · next BOU (H)
    0.0 (−5.4)
  3. £4.5m (saves £0.4m) · 5.4% owned · next IPS (A)
    0.0 (−5.4)
  4. Danns LIV
    £4.5m (saves £0.4m) · 0.2% owned · next MCI (H)
    0.0 (−5.4)
  5. Salia NEW
    £4.5m (saves £0.4m) · 0.1% owned · next COV (A)
    0.0 (−5.4)

For up to £1.0m more

Only those who beat the best option at his price
  1. Barry EVE
    £5.7m (£0.8m more) · 8.3% owned · next HUL (A)
    23.9 (+18.5)
  2. £5.5m (£0.6m more) · 3.6% owned · next FUL (H)
    20.3 (+14.9)
  3. £5.6m (£0.7m more) · 4.5% owned · next SUN (A)
    16.7 (+11.3)
  4. £5.5m (£0.6m more) · 1.9% owned · next EVE (H)
    15.5 (+10.0)
  5. £5.8m (£0.9m more) · 2.6% owned · next CRY (A)
    13.1 (+7.7)

How to read this

Expected points come from each player's chances (expected goals and assists), minutes, defensive work, bonus and the next 5 opponents, with FPL's scoring. They are not points scored so far, so a player on a hot streak from few chances ranks lower here than on a form table. Budgets use today's prices; your own selling price can be lower. Enter your team ID to get replacements at the price you would really sell for.