Best replacements for Igor Thiago

Brentford forward · the best forwards to buy instead, by expected points over GW6–10 · updated Mon 5 Oct, 22:14 UK

The model would sell

GW6–10 xP
20.3
Price
£7.8m
Owned
9.1%

1 forward at £7.8m or less project at least 3 points more than Thiago over the next 5 gameweeks. The best is Barry (EVE, £5.7m): 23.9 against 20.3, and £2.1m back in the bank.

For £7.8m or less

Expected points over GW6–10, and the difference to Thiago
  1. Barry EVE
    £5.7m (saves £2.1m) · 8.3% owned · next HUL (A)
    23.9 (+3.6)
  2. Gonzalo FUL
    £6.0m (saves £1.8m) · 4.1% owned · next IPS (A)
    21.5 (+1.3)
  3. Calvert-Lewin LEE
    £6.0m (saves £1.8m) · 24.8% owned · next ARS (A)
    21.3 (+1.0)
  4. Wissa NEW
    £6.2m (saves £1.6m) · 18.7% owned · next COV (A)
    20.8 (+0.5)
  5. Emersonn IPS
    £5.5m (saves £2.3m) · 3.6% owned · next FUL (H)
    20.3 (+0.0)

How to read this

Expected points come from each player's chances (expected goals and assists), minutes, defensive work, bonus and the next 5 opponents, with FPL's scoring. They are not points scored so far, so a player on a hot streak from few chances ranks lower here than on a form table. Budgets use today's prices; your own selling price can be lower. Enter your team ID to get replacements at the price you would really sell for.