Best replacements for Matias Fernandez-Pardo

Newcastle forward · the best forwards to buy instead, by expected points over GW11–15 · updated Sun 8 Nov, 03:39 UK

The model would sell

GW11–15 xP
7.5
Price
£5.8m
Owned
0.1%

9 forwards at £5.8m or less project at least 3 points more than Fernandez-Pardo over the next 5 gameweeks. The best is Barry (EVE, £5.7m): 27.4 against 7.5, and £0.1m back in the bank.

For £5.8m or less

Expected points over GW11–15, and the difference to Fernandez-Pardo
  1. Barry EVE
    £5.7m (saves £0.1m) · 9.7% owned · next BRE (A)
    27.4 (+19.9)
  2. £5.5m (saves £0.3m) · 3.0% owned · next TOT (A)
    18.9 (+11.4)
  3. £5.8m · 10.2% owned · next HUL (A)
    17.0 (+9.5)
  4. Delap NFO
    £5.3m (saves £0.5m) · 1.4% owned · next BOU (A)
    16.9 (+9.4)
  5. £5.5m (saves £0.3m) · 1.8% owned · next BHA (H)
    16.5 (+9.0)
  6. £5.7m (saves £0.1m) · 4.8% owned · next AVL (A)
    15.7 (+8.2)
  7. £5.4m (saves £0.4m) · 0.3% owned · next CRY (H)
    12.9 (+5.4)
  8. £5.8m · 1.4% owned · next IPS (H)
    12.7 (+5.2)
  9. £5.0m (saves £0.8m) · 1.0% owned · next CRY (H)
    11.7 (+4.2)
  10. Isidor SUN
    £5.4m (saves £0.4m) · 0.7% owned · next AVL (A)
    9.6 (+2.1)

How to read this

Expected points come from each player's chances (expected goals and assists), minutes, defensive work, bonus and the next 5 opponents, with FPL's scoring. They are not points scored so far, so a player on a hot streak from few chances ranks lower here than on a form table. Budgets use today's prices; your own selling price can be lower. Enter your team ID to get replacements at the price you would really sell for.