Best replacements for Nico O'Reilly

Man City defender · the best defenders to buy instead, by expected points over GW6–10 · updated Mon 5 Oct, 22:14 UK

The model would sell

GW6–10 xP
5.9
Price
£6.3m
Owned
10.8%

10 defenders at £6.3m or less project at least 3 points more than O'Reilly over the next 5 gameweeks. The best is Tarkowski (EVE, £6.2m): 23.1 against 5.9, and £0.1m back in the bank.

FPL flag: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing. His expected points already allow for it. O'Reilly injury news →

For £6.3m or less

Expected points over GW6–10, and the difference to O'Reilly
  1. Tarkowski EVE
    £6.2m (saves £0.1m) · 16.7% owned · next HUL (A)
    23.1 (+17.2)
  2. Hall NEW
    £5.3m (saves £1.0m) · 17.5% owned · next COV (A)
    22.1 (+16.2)
  3. Thomas COV
    £4.0m (saves £2.3m) · 8.5% owned · next NEW (H)
    21.4 (+15.5)
  4. Calafiori ARS
    £5.8m (saves £0.5m) · 50.5% owned · next LEE (H)
    20.9 (+15.0)
  5. Guéhi MCI
    £6.0m (saves £0.3m) · 18.1% owned · next LIV (A)
    20.2 (+14.3)
  6. Bogle LEE
    £4.6m (saves £1.7m) · 7.4% owned · next ARS (A)
    20.1 (+14.2)
  7. Murillo NFO
    £5.5m (saves £0.8m) · 2.1% owned · next CRY (A)
    19.9 (+13.9)
  8. Justin LEE
    £4.5m (saves £1.8m) · 1.4% owned · next ARS (A)
    19.8 (+13.9)
  9. Muharemović LEE
    £5.0m (saves £1.3m) · 4.3% owned · next ARS (A)
    19.7 (+13.8)
  10. Davis IPS
    £4.0m (saves £2.3m) · 7.0% owned · next FUL (H)
    19.6 (+13.7)

How to read this

Expected points come from each player's chances (expected goals and assists), minutes, defensive work, bonus and the next 5 opponents, with FPL's scoring. They are not points scored so far, so a player on a hot streak from few chances ranks lower here than on a form table. Budgets use today's prices; your own selling price can be lower. Enter your team ID to get replacements at the price you would really sell for.