Best replacements for Virgil

Liverpool defender · the best defenders to buy instead, by expected points over GW6–10 · updated Mon 5 Oct, 22:14 UK

The model would sell

GW6–10 xP
16.7
Price
£6.5m
Owned
16.2%

9 defenders at £6.5m or less project at least 3 points more than Virgil over the next 5 gameweeks. The best is Tarkowski (EVE, £6.2m): 23.1 against 16.7, and £0.3m back in the bank.

For £6.5m or less

Expected points over GW6–10, and the difference to Virgil
  1. Tarkowski EVE
    £6.2m (saves £0.3m) · 16.7% owned · next HUL (A)
    23.1 (+6.4)
  2. Hall NEW
    £5.3m (saves £1.2m) · 17.5% owned · next COV (A)
    22.1 (+5.5)
  3. Thomas COV
    £4.0m (saves £2.5m) · 8.5% owned · next NEW (H)
    21.4 (+4.7)
  4. Calafiori ARS
    £5.8m (saves £0.7m) · 50.5% owned · next LEE (H)
    20.9 (+4.2)
  5. Guéhi MCI
    £6.0m (saves £0.5m) · 18.1% owned · next LIV (A)
    20.2 (+3.6)
  6. Bogle LEE
    £4.6m (saves £1.9m) · 7.4% owned · next ARS (A)
    20.1 (+3.4)
  7. Murillo NFO
    £5.5m (saves £1.0m) · 2.1% owned · next CRY (A)
    19.9 (+3.2)
  8. Justin LEE
    £4.5m (saves £2.0m) · 1.4% owned · next ARS (A)
    19.8 (+3.2)
  9. Muharemović LEE
    £5.0m (saves £1.5m) · 4.3% owned · next ARS (A)
    19.7 (+3.0)
  10. Davis IPS
    £4.0m (saves £2.5m) · 7.0% owned · next FUL (H)
    19.6 (+3.0)

How to read this

Expected points come from each player's chances (expected goals and assists), minutes, defensive work, bonus and the next 5 opponents, with FPL's scoring. They are not points scored so far, so a player on a hot streak from few chances ranks lower here than on a form table. Budgets use today's prices; your own selling price can be lower. Enter your team ID to get replacements at the price you would really sell for.