Best replacements for Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa forward · the best forwards to buy instead, by expected points over GW6–10 · updated Mon 5 Oct, 22:14 UK

The model would sell

GW6–10 xP
0.0
Price
£7.8m
Owned
2.5%

10 forwards at £7.8m or less project at least 3 points more than Watkins over the next 5 gameweeks. The best is Barry (EVE, £5.7m): 23.9 against 0.0, and £2.1m back in the bank.

For £7.8m or less

Expected points over GW6–10, and the difference to Watkins
  1. Barry EVE
    £5.7m (saves £2.1m) · 8.3% owned · next HUL (A)
    23.9 (+23.9)
  2. Gonzalo FUL
    £6.0m (saves £1.8m) · 4.1% owned · next IPS (A)
    21.5 (+21.5)
  3. Calvert-Lewin LEE
    £6.0m (saves £1.8m) · 24.8% owned · next ARS (A)
    21.3 (+21.3)
  4. Wissa NEW
    £6.2m (saves £1.6m) · 18.7% owned · next COV (A)
    20.8 (+20.8)
  5. Emersonn IPS
    £5.5m (saves £2.3m) · 3.6% owned · next FUL (H)
    20.3 (+20.3)
  6. Thiago BRE
    £7.8m · 9.1% owned · next AVL (A)
    20.3 (+20.3)
  7. Kostoulas BHA
    £5.6m (saves £2.2m) · 4.5% owned · next SUN (A)
    16.7 (+16.7)
  8. Evanilson BOU
    £6.0m (saves £1.8m) · 3.2% owned · next CHE (A)
    16.7 (+16.7)
  9. McBurnie HUL
    £5.5m (saves £2.3m) · 1.9% owned · next EVE (H)
    15.5 (+15.5)
  10. Strand Larsen CRY
    £6.0m (saves £1.8m) · 0.7% owned · next NFO (H)
    13.8 (+13.8)

How to read this

Expected points come from each player's chances (expected goals and assists), minutes, defensive work, bonus and the next 5 opponents, with FPL's scoring. They are not points scored so far, so a player on a hot streak from few chances ranks lower here than on a form table. Budgets use today's prices; your own selling price can be lower. Enter your team ID to get replacements at the price you would really sell for.